This coming weekend’s set of fixtures are the last bit of action before the two-week international break, but at a time when the PL is usually cashing in on as many viewers as possible, there are only four games taking place. Newcastle’s April 24 trip to Liverpool could be days before Jurgen Klopp leads his Reds versus Porto or Chelsea in the first leg of the Champions League semifinals should Liverpool manage their quarterfinal with Real Madrid. The Magpies have a … Sadly, if you are a Fulham fan, the bookmakers think you will be up against it this season. April 3: Aston Villa v Fulham (First meeting: Villa 3-0) April 18: Arsenal v Fulham (First meeting: Arsenal 3-0) All we know and can hope for for now, is a win tomorrow at Brighton which will do a world of wonders both for the team going forwards and for the fans struggling to see the light at the end of the tunnel! Liverpool should consider Ademola Lookman over the summer. Nevertheless, a win for the Cottagers over Leeds on Friday would take them above Newcastle in the table, level on points with Brighton, and would add even more tension and pressure to the encounter at the Amex Stadium on Saturday. All that said, Fulham needed an own goal to get their point and were out-produced in expected goals by a team that’s not great in producing expected goals. I asked the guys behind the scenes if they had to decide as of right now, who will occupy the bottom spots and this is what they came up with; 16th) Brighton & Hove Albion Football Club. Here are the 16 matches left involving Fulham and/or Newcastle, and there are two common opponents in addition to the final day’s meeting between the relegation rivals in London. The key word there is scrapper, as Fulham certainly fits the bill but Newcastle has shown little fight on the pitch in recent weeks and reports out of England say manager Steve Bruce is not going anywhere despite a clear lack of courage from his men. Newcastle has two wins since mid-December, a nine-match league winless run broken up for three matches before their current six-match winless run began with a 2-0 loss at Chelsea on Feb. 15. Right now, they’d take the extra five points. 6. Shelvey, Almiron, Saint-Maximin a handful Fulham’s now lost three of four March matches after going on a 15-match run that saw two wins, three losses, and an eye-popping 10 draws. Fulham’s 2019 accounts show that in 2018/19, Fulham generated £108.98 million from broadcast revenue streams, a 403.4% increase on the 2017/18 season prior, in which the team competed in the Championship and earnt just £21.65 million from broadcast revenue. Although a young manager, Parker does have experience in relegation battles after taking charge in the 2018-19 season. If you want to indulge the idea of a third team entering the mix, wait until after Burnley meets Southampton and Newcastle on April 4 and 11. The same partnership was at the foundation of Fulham’s last relegation in the 2018/19 season and appeared to be sending the club back to the Championship with the standard of their performances at the start of the term. Of those games, Fulham have traveled to all five teams placed 15th and below, and drawn all 5 games. While Fulham will require other results to go their way in the final quarter of the season, Parker refuses to get distracted by what their relegation rivals are doing. The Cottagers end the season with a home meeting against Newcastle on May 23. Points: Newcastle, 28-26. Fullbacks: Fulham Attacking midfield: Newcastle. It was the 15th league goal Leeds had conceded from a set-piece this season, which … This news should bring hope to fans who are worried that the return of Wilson, Saint-Maximin, and Almiron after the international break will be too late and that the “winnable fixtures” of late will have passed us by. Following the international break, both sides will still have a game in hand on Fulham which could prove vital as the season end draws near. Forwards: Even. May 12: Southampton v Fulham (First meeting: 0-0) Newcastle are down in the seaside town to take on Graham Potter’s Albion on Saturday with both scrapping it out with Fulham to avoid that final relegation spot. At the time of writing, Fulham aren’t actually favourites for relegation. Fabian Schar has also been a significant absence and will be back. Fulham ran out 2-1 winners before Leeds gained revenge later in the season with a 3-0 success at Elland Road. Clarets losses there would leave them within two points of the bottom three at a minimum, one if Fulham tops Villa and Wolves. Victory for the blues will open a 17-point gap at the top of the table and move another step towards the Premier League title. Scott Parker’s men have also allowed all six of their penalties while scoring just two of five. Teams are sorted by PPG (Points Per Game) to take into account the different number of games played, with their current PL position in the far left column. That means Fulham are penned as second-favourites for the drop next season, currently priced at 11/8 best price. One banner in the away end declared it to be the 'Fulham relegation party'. There’s plenty of football to be played before then and if Dougie the “Newcastle Fan” is right, we’ll be safe and looking forward to battling it out for Europe this time next year! From a neutrals perspective, the ideal scenario is that the relegation fight between both Newcastle and Fulham reaches the breaking point as the season comes to a close. The club also competed in the FA Cup and the EFL Cup . West Brom and Crystal Palace have collected over 77% of their points this season against those in the bottom half, whereas Burnley and Fulham have the lowest percentage of such points at only 52% and 54% respectively. Fulham are facing the prospect of playing “eight games, eight finals” in their attempt to stave off relegation from the Premier League, according to manager Scott Parker after his side’s 2-1 home defeat to Leeds United on Friday. Newcastle is equal opportunity bad, minus -18 in open play goal differential and also minus in goals off corners and set pieces. One of Scott Parker’s leading lights has been an ex-Everton forward on loan from RB Leipzig. Goalkeepers: Even, perhaps slight edge to Fulham’s Alphonse Areola And not many of us can deny that we love a somewhat hopeful, but also potentially incredibly bleak, look at what the end of the season has in store, right? An immediate return to the top flight was a realistic expectation as the majority of the side that achieved promotion in style under Slaviša Jokanović in 2017/18 was retained. However, the Cottagers have mounted a strong come back in recent months. In this first of our relegation series, we take a look at the current state of affairs, the bottom half of the league’s remaining fixtures and what the old football adage - “to stay up, you just need to beat those around you” - could mean come the end of the season. He’s obviously been a success, having won the Championship play-off final while still being in the race for survival this season. Three firms have gone odds-against though, making them an 11/10 chance. Center backs: Even Brighton vs Newcastle, Not a fourth draw in a row as expected: Lack of Stats review, Taking a look a Newcastle’s loss to Brighton by exploring the stats behind the result. That unwanted position goes to another newly-promoted side in West Brom, who are 5/4. No. The Cottagers are also dreadful after halftime, minus-9 with 12 goals allowed after the break, though their numbers are a little more unfortunate than the Magpies’ figure. This could show that Burnley and Fulham are more likely to pick up results against the better sides but also that they’re unable to take advantage of struggling sides and collect as many points. What’s that coming over the hill, is it relegation? Is #NUFC's position in the table down to bad luck and an injury crisis?This Magpies fan is feeling optimistic about life under Steve Bruce - if he commits to playing attacking football #BBC606 pic.twitter.com/xBIkg8yUum. Brighton’s win over Southampton last weekend, together with Newcastle’s draw against Villa, meant that the Seagulls leap-frogged the Magpies back up to 16th by a point and a much superior goal difference. Premier League relegation battle analysed by form and fixtures. The updated Premier League relegation odds from Betfair on Saturday morning after Leeds won 2-1 at Fulham on Friday night (The odds in brackets are the ones that existed before Fulham … April 9: Fulham v Wolves (First meeting: Wolves 1-0) They also competed in the League Cup and the FA Cup. Fulham face Newcastle on the final day of the season and Bullard - who assisted Danny Murphy's winner against Portsmouth on the final day in 2008 - is relishing the potential relegation … Unsurprisingly, all 10 teams in the bottom half pick up a higher amount of Points Per Game against sides who also occupy a spot in the bottom half of the table. May 15: Man Utd v Fulham (First meeting: United 2-1) Newcastle travel to Brighton in what could be one of the most important games of the run-in, where three points for either team would be huge in their efforts for safety. May 8: Leicester v Newcastle (First meeting: LCFC 2-1) They may be watertight now, but Fulham’s recent defensive performances are in sharp contrast to their leaky start to the season. ... after his caretaker stint at the end of their Premier League relegation season. Fulham has not beaten anyone left on its fixture list, but is a much different team than the first half of the season. We think Fulham just knicks it, perhaps even on goal differential, as Parker’s plan is clearer and the Cottagers holding far more belief in it than Bruce’s Magpies are with his ideas. Sean Dyche believes there can still be late twists in the relegation battle as the Premier League season moves into the final 10 games. Fulham were relegated from the Premier League, finishing in 19th place. Without a capable center-back pairing, Fulham is likely to repeat 2018-19, a season where the Cottagers allowed 81 goals and were relegated from the … It can, therefore, be assumed that these figures would be reversed on relegation. May 12: Newcastle v Man City (First meeting: MCFC 2-0) Fulham recently grabbed a remarkable win against Liverpool to at the time close the gap to Newcastle to just one point, but they have struggled to turn defensive solidity into collecting all three points against lower positioned sides. The Premier League relegation race seems down to two teams for one place, as moribund Newcastle and newly-slumping Fulham head down the stretch two points apart. Furthermore, the expected goals table shows that Fulham has been exceptionally unlucky in converting well-produced chances into goals but very fortunate in terms of opponents turning good opportunities into goals. Andre-Frank Zambo Anguissa the best of all midfielders Follow the matchday grid above and you’ll see that both teams seem likely to be in the drop zone over the final two months. Fulham have not … Fulham’s season has been a mess from the start – the saddest part for this naive side is that relegation was so avoidable Well, there are some big conditionals here. Fulham’s target will be to stand above Newcastle heading into the final day while the Magpies will likely set their goals to be within three points of the Cottagers before meeting Sheffield United and Fulham over the final two match days. Goals conceded: Fulham, 38-48 Should Arsenal advance to the UEL semis, it would play its first leg with Dinamo Zagreb or Villarreal three days before a trip to Newcastle. Two newly promoted teams and Aston Villa, who struggled last season, are favored for relegation from the Premier League in 2020-21 West Brom and Fulham have been in the top flight recently, but they face a difficult task to stay up Is there value … Fulham were unable to capitalise on Newcastle’s dropped points, after falling 3-0 to the Champions elect in Man City, whose march to the Premier League title has turned into somewhat of a canter. The club polished off its relegation by dropping nine straight league matches and has just four wins all season–all of which have come at … Overall, my three picks for relegation in the Premier League are Fulham, Burnley and West Brom from worst to best, in that order. Fulham have drawn 8 (EIGHT) times in just 13 matches against sides in the bottom half. This is in line with what can only be described as typically up & down Newcastle results; including a league double over Everton, a win at West Ham and draws against Tottenham and Liverpool but also being the only team to have traveled to Bramall Lane & not score against bottom side Sheffield Utd. Fulham Lineup will try to avoid relegation and get a place to stay in the top flight this season. Goals: Newcastle, 28-23 The schedule certainly takes a turn for the worse for the Toon Army with games against Tottenham, West Ham, Liverpool, Man City, Arsenal and Leicester taking place in a span of just 7 games. Expected points: Fulham, 35.75-29.64 Make no mistake though, the final two fixtures of Sheffield Utd at home and Fulham away are winnable, and more than likely will need to be won for survival. It seems far too early to be using phrases like “Premier League safety is still in our hands” when there are so many games left to play in the season, but this year - almost like no other - the closeness between sides at the bottom of the league seems to have fast-tracked talk and fear of the drop. In relation to relegation, it is often said that the difference between staying up and going down, is beating those around you. On the field, Fulham has been just as dreadful. Tottenham’s shocking Europa League exit means Jose Mourinho has no congestion worries on April 4 at Newcastle, while Arsenal’s Europa League quarterfinal second leg at Slavia Prague comes three days before Fulham’s visit to the Emirates. Fulham. May 8: Fulham v Burnley (First meeting: 1-1) Grinding out results has been a mainstay of Parker’s resurgent Fulham who until this past weekend, had gone since September by not losing by more than one goal. Digging deeper into those numbers shows some back luck, like the 2-1 loss to Leeds on Friday, but also that xG says the Cottagers would’ve been deserved losers in five draws and winners in another five. Raphinha’s strike for Leeds piles relegation pressure on Fulham ... Fulham 1 Leeds 2. Newcastle has beaten West Ham and Burnley while drawing Liverpool and Spurs but they’ve devolved from that standard. Newcastle’s goals total is basically the same as xG while their conceded goals is almost four more than expected. Of those games, Fulham have traveled to all five teams placed 15th and below, and drawn all 5 games. Steve Bruce Addresses the Media ahead of Villa, Preview: Newcastle vs. Aston Villa, Points of Any Kind are Welcome, Newcastle definitely need 3 points this weekend, is it going to be possible against an Aston Villa side who desperately need the return of their talisman, A Statistical Review: Newcastle 1 Aston Villa 1. April 11: Burnley v Newcastle (First meeting: NUFC 3-1) Fulham will be in a relegation battle throughout this season but they can really survive if they get lucky with injuries and can improve defensively. But hey, we support Newcastle United. Relegation rivals Newcastle have shipped 17 over the same period. May 1: Newcastle v Arsenal (First meeting: Arsenal 3-0) Newcastle will have Callum Wilson and Allan Saint-Maximin back from injury before the end of the season and Miguel Almiron has also returned to the fold. Fulham remains in relegation spot after defeat to Leeds United | Foreign football tommcadams 2 mins ago Patrick Bamford gave Leeds United the lead after 29 minutes with his fourteenth goal of the season, but ten minutes later Danish defender Joachim Andersen made it 1-1 on behalf of Fulham. "I can't see why we can't qualify for Europe next season." Other than Newcastle, Southampton probably have the worst form in the league of late. Fulham have drawn 8 (EIGHT) times in just 13 matches against sides in the bottom half. Fulham’s been nearly as bad in open play, though xG says the Cottagers have been unlucky in scoring in open play but fortunate in what they’ve conceded. In the other fixtures Aston Villa entertain Tottenham, West Ham host Arsenal, and fellow strugglers Fulham, meet Leeds at the Craven Cottage. In good news for both the Toon Army and Albion, is that a win for either would not only propel the respective club away from the relegation zone but also close the gap on Burnley and Southampton who have played a game more. So, has Steve Bruce Actually Taken the Club Forward. They also exited the League Cup in the fourth round and the FA Cup in the fourth round. Expected goals: Fulham, 34.16-27.34 Since the Premier League became a 20 team league in the 95/96 season, the average number of points needed for safety is 38.12 pts and the average points held by 18th place when being relegated is 35.52pts. The fact that Southampton, Burnley, and Brighton are hardly being considered as threatened anymore despite being no more than seven points clear of the bottom three shows just how poor the Magpies and Cottagers have been with less than two months left in the Premier League season. The table below is made up purely of the fixtures above to show how successful bottom-half clubs have been against one another this season. April 17: Newcastle v West Ham (First meeting: NUFC 2-0) Wednesday 3 April 2019 10:31, UK Ryan Sessegnon cuts a dejected figure as Fulham's relegation was confirmed Fulham's relegation from the Premier League was … The 2013–14 season was Fulham's 116th professional season and their 13th consecutive season in the top flight of English football, the Premier League. Earlier this season, it appeared that Fulham were destined for an immediate return to the second tier, but Scott Parker's side have now given themselves a serious opportunity to avoid relegation. The 2018–19 Fulham season was the club's 121st professional season and their 14th in the Premier League, after the club won promotion from the EFL Championship after defeating Aston Villa in the 2018 EFL Championship play-off Final at Wembley Stadium on 26 May 2018. Expected goals conceded: Newcastle, 43.38-44.51 April 4: Newcastle v Tottenham (First meeting: 1-1) Fulham’s only notable injury of any length has been Tom Cairney, with all due respect to backup keeper Marek Rodak. Manchester City travel to west London to face relegation threatened Fulham at Craven Cottage. The Magpies have a match-in-hand and arguably better talent, but Fulham’s shown far more mettle since a terrible start to the season and two scrappers are headed for a final day meeting at Craven Cottage. Sorry, your blog cannot share posts by email. Fulham are 2.64 13/8 favourites to … But with the bookmakers having Newcastle at 5/1 (+500) to win at Brighton, together with the incoming horrid fixtures, maybe they’re the realistic ones among us. Fulham favourites to be relegated . Parker moved to address the … With Palace, Leeds and Wolves all already at 35+pts, with 10 games to go, only a Newcastle-esque drop in form would be enough for relegation now. Post was not sent - check your email addresses! They’ve been best in a 4-4-2 and have been out-scored in every 15-minute span of 90 minutes, including a ridiculous minus-7 mark coming out of halftime (46th-60th). May 1: Chelsea v Fulham (First meeting: Chelsea 1-0) Literally nobody was asking for a look into the relegation battle just yet. Should the three-point gap remain until the final day, Fulham will have the chance to survive by beating Newcastle in front of a percentage of fans at Craven Cottage . Wilson and Saint-Maximin missed a stretch of games that could’ve been wins with them in the lineup, while Almiron was not enough to swing the balance against a better manager and system in Brighton. At the end of every season, the three teams with the worst Premier League point tally are sent down to the next highest division, the English Championship. Grinding out results has been a mainstay of Parker’s resurgent Fulham who until this past weekend, had gone since September by not losing by more than one goal. The Premier League relegation race seems down to two teams for one place, as moribund Newcastle and newly-slumping Fulham head down the stretch two points apart. They’re a fairly pessimistic bunch, with only 42% thinking we have enough to stay up. Fulham: Season Preview 2020-21. This season saw a tough start for Fulham, the West London side seemed doomed to relegation at a point. Interestingly, Newcastle have the smallest increase in PPG when comparing their form against the bottom teams to that of against the league as a whole. But that day, when Newcastle take on Fulham in a potentially survival-defining game, is still some time away yet. The resurgence of a Fulham side that had been written off by many, together with Newcastle’s monumental slump in form over the past 16 games, has laid the seeds for what will be a fascinating (and downright terrifying) journey towards May 25th. Fulham are the 10/11 favourites to be relegated from the Premier League this season. April 24: Liverpool v Newcastle (First meeting: 0-0) Fulham miss out on the opportunity to climb out of the relegation zone after another home defeat. But with five games against bottom-half opposition to go, at an average of 1.5pts per game, another 7.5pts will take them above the “safe” 40 point mark. The first meeting was shocking stuff from Newcastle, who only managed a goal in a 1-1 against the 10-man Cottagers at St. James’ Park despite holding the man advantage for a half-hour. After their 2-0 win against the Magpies back in early November, they briefly went top of the league, but it’s been a downward trajectory since then. The grid above evoked nostalgia for me, as it’s how I remember checking results and form in the newspaper, but to those of you who it is new, it represents just the bottom half teams and their fixtures/results against one another. The order of these matches also matters. May 15: Newcastle v Sheffield Utd (First meeting: Blades 1-0) Fulham will now be keen spectators of that clash between Brighton and Newcastle before preparing for a critical eight-game stretch after the international break that sees them take on Aston Villa, Wolves, Arsenal, Chelsea, Burnley, Southampton and Manchester United. Defensive midfield: Fulham. Fulham boss Scott Parker says the Cottagers have ‘eight finals’ to avoid relegation from the Premier League. Although included in these fixtures, I’ll say now that I think Crystal Palace, Leeds and Wolves are safe. Newcastle visits Burnley on April 11 while the Clarets head to Fulham on May 8, while Fulham goes to Arsenal on April 17 and the Magpies host the Gunners on May 1. Burnley have 6 of their final 9 games against sides in the bottom half, which should be just the sets of fixtures needed for Sean Dyche’s side to once again do enough to stay up. The Premier League season is rapidly approaching it’s conclusion and there is still plenty to be decided, including the relegation fight near the foot of the table. May 23: Fulham v Newcastle (First meeting: 1-1). In this first of our relegation series, we take a look at the current state of affairs, the bottom half of the league’s remaining fixtures and what the old football adage - "to stay up, you just need to beat those around you" - could mean come the end of the season. Click to share on Facebook (Opens in new window), Click to share on Twitter (Opens in new window), Click to share on Reddit (Opens in new window), Click to email this to a friend (Opens in new window), Three things we learned from West Ham – Arsenal, Three things we learned from Brighton – Newcastle, North London derby: Three things we learned from Arsenal – Tottenham, only managed a goal in a 1-1 against the 10-man Cottagers at St. James’ Park. Because this is the season of upsets, real and imagined, Fulham is coming off of a 2-0 win at 7th-place Everton and a scoreless draw at West Ham. Not beaten anyone left on its fixture list, but is a different... 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